where is a vector, is a symmetricpositive definite matrix, and and are the inverse and determinant of , respectively. It turns out that and are the mean vector and covariance matrix of , respectively. But we will not prove that here. In this post, we will show this density (Eq:density) is normalized (of course). That is, we prove that
We assume that you already know how to prove the univariate normal distribution is normalized:
Let's start!
First, by changing the variables , we need to prove
What's annoying about this integral is that it contains the cross terms between vector components of such as where . If there were no cross terms, then the only terms are of the form , and we can split the multivariate integral into the product of univariate integrals. We can do this by diagonalizing.
Since is real symmetric, we can diagonalize it by some orthogonal matrix :
where is the diagonal matrix of the eigenvalues of . Since is positive definite, all the eigenvalues are positive. Accordingly (exercise!), the inverse matrix of is diagonalized as
where is the inverse matrix of . Let's substitute this into the exponent of the density. We have
where we set . Since is orthogonal, . Therefore, , so that
Defining the birth process Consider a colony of bacteria that never dies. We study the following process known as the birth process , also known as the Yule process . The colony starts with cells at time . Assume that the probability that any individual cell divides in the time interval is proportional to for small . Further assume that each cell division is independent of others. Let be the birth rate. The probability of a cell division for a population of cells during is . We assume that the probability that two or more births take place in the time interval is . That is, it can be ignored. Consequently, the probability that no cell divides during is . Note that this process is an example of the Markov chain with states \({n_0}, {n_0 + 1}, {n_0 + 2}...
Generational growth Consider the following scenario (see the figure below): A single individual (cell, organism, etc.) produces descendants with probability , independently of other individuals. The probability of this reproduction, , is known. That individual produces no further descendants after the first (if any) reproduction. These descendants each produce further descendants at the next subsequent time with the same probabilities. This process carries on, creating successive generations. Figure 1. An example of the branching process. Let be the random variable representing the population size (number of individuals) of generation . In the above figure, we have , , , , We shall assume as the initial condition. Ideally, our goal would be to find how the population size grows through generations, that is, to find the probability for e...
In mathematics, we must prove (almost) everything and the proofs must be done logically and rigorously. Therefore, we need some understanding of basic logic. Here, I will informally explain some rudimentary formal logic. Definitions (Proposition): A proposition is a statement that is either true or false. "True" and "false" are called the truth values, and are often denoted and . Here is an example. "Dr. Akira teaches at UBD." is a statement that is either true or false (we understand the existence of Dr. Akira and UBD), hence a proposition. The following statement is also a proposition, although we don't know if it's true or false (yet): Any even number greater than or equal to 4 is equal to a sum of two primes. See also: Goldbach's conjecture Next, we define several operations on propositions. Note that propositions combined with these operations are again propositions. (Conjunction, logical "and"): Let ...
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